How Could Gold Prices Move Under Trump?
One of the questions many gold owners have about their gold holdings is, which way will gold prices move Everybody obviously hopes that gold goes up, but we all realize that gold prices can move both...
Precious Metals
For anyone who owns gold and silver, or who is looking at buying gold and silver, one question dominates their minds right now: where will gold and silver prices go in 2025?
The past few years have been good ones for gold and silver, with both metals showing great performance.
Gold prices rose nearly 90% from 2019 to 2024, including over 27% last year. Silver, meanwhile, rose just over 80% from 2019 to 2024, including over 23% last year.
It wasn’t all upward growth, however, with 2021 and 2023 being down years for silver, and 2021 and 2022 being losing years for gold. With prices able to move both up and down, how might 2025 turn out for gold and silver?
Let’s take a look at what some of the experts say. According to a recent survey of gold traders, most retail gold traders expect gold prices to top $3,000 an ounce in 2025, while another 22% think gold will trade between $2,800 and $3,000 an ounce.
Only 7% believe that gold will trade between $2,600 and $2,800 an ounce, while 13% believe that gold will trade between $2,400 and $2,600 an ounce.
Some analysts aren’t quite as bullish about gold this year. Goldman Sachs, for instance, has revised its gold price forecast, now expecting gold prices to hit $3,000 by mid-2026 rather than this year.
That’s due to analysts’ views that the Federal Reserve may not cut interest rates as much as had been previously expected, and that the lack of interest rate cuts may not give gold as much of an upswing.
But while Goldman analysts may have become more conservative in their outlook, Bank of America analysts remain bullish on gold. While they expect some headwinds in the first part of the year, overall they still expect gold to hit $3,000 an ounce by the end of 2025.
While Bank of America analysts remain realistic about the headwinds from Federal Reserve monetary policy, they expect strong central bank demand to continue to buoy the gold price.
Indeed, with central banks continuing to add more and more gold to their official reserves, central bank gold purchases remain a strong driver behind gold demand. And with over 2,500 tonnes of gold flowing into central bank coffers over the past five years, the trend could continue into 2025.
One thing to keep in mind about gold price forecasts is that they’re just that: forecasts. And many of them tend to be conservative and project the present into the future.
If you remember what analysts were saying about gold in 2024, look back to a Reuters poll from October 2023 in which the forecast was for gold to average just under $2,000 an ounce in 2024. And analysts from major banks expected gold to hit $2,100 to $2,220 an ounce.
Yet gold started 2024 at $2,064 an ounce and ended it at over $2,600 an ounce, hitting highs close to $2,800 an ounce at one point. That just goes to show that when conditions are bullish for gold, even optimistic projections may fail to anticipate just how much gold could rise.
Silver prices in 2024 reached prices they hadn’t seen in over a decade, with silver reaching highs near $35 an ounce. Will silver perform as well as gold in 2025?
Among the trends contributing to silver prices are strong demand from the photovoltaic industry (solar panels), and the continuing deficit between silver demand and silver production. According to some estimates, solar energy could use up 85-98% of current global silver reserves by 2050.
With silver mining remaining relatively flat but with demand increasing, analysts believe that could also help contribute to higher silver prices in the future.
Major Wall Street analysts expect silver prices to hit $36-40 in 2025. But some analysts believe that silver could even hit $50 an ounce in 2025. That would be a significant increase, and would far exceed 2024’s price growth.
But one thing to keep in mind, in the view of analysts, is that a recession or market selloff could impact silver prices negatively. Indeed, the lessons of the 2008 financial crisis bear that out.
If you look back at silver prices in 2008, they rose by over 30% in the first few months of the year, before falling nearly 60% from March to October. But once the price recovered, silver’s gains actually outpaced gold’s percentagewise by the time both metals reached their peak in 2011.
Of course, analysis and opinions are a dime a dozen, and it’s up to you to sort through the varying opinions and determine whether they make sense for you. Whether you decide to buy gold, buy silver, buy both, or buy nothing is going to be a decision you make based on your perception of the economy and your own financial needs.
Do you think the economy is going to fall into recession this year? Do you fear losing money as happened to many people during the 2008 financial crisis? Or do you think President Trump is going to turn the economy around and usher in a new era of financial prosperity?
These are just some of the questions you might ask yourself before deciding to buy gold and silver. But once you’ve made the decision to buy gold or silver, we hope that you’ll choose to do business with Goldco.
With over $3 billion in precious metals placements and thousands of satisfied customers, we’ve worked hard to make ourselves one of the best gold and silver companies in the business. Our dedication to quality products and exceptional customer service set us apart from other companies.
If you’re looking to add gold and silver to your portfolio, give Goldco a call today to learn more about the many benefits of owning gold and silver.